Probabilistic risk assessment ( PRA ) when combined with mini-Delphi techniques and statistical approaches yields accurate forecasts.
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The author comes to the conclusion that the Delphi technique has instrumental value in providing different alternative futures and the argumentation of scenarios.
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In his doctoral thesis, Rikkonen ( 2005 ) examined the utilization of Delphi techniques in scenario planning and, concretely, in construction of scenarios.
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These groupings often resemble the Delphi Technique, which is an analytic technique that gathers a group of experts on a subject together and asks their opinion on a scenario or prediction.
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Uma has written about sixty articles on research journals with her article " Theory and applications of the Delphi technique : A bibliography ( 1975 1994 ) " reaching over 390 citations.
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Forecasting a competency model for innovation leaders using a modified delphi technique . ( Doctoral dissertation ) Dr . David Gliddon ( 2006 ) developed the competency model of innovation leaders and established the concept of innovation leadership at Penn State University.
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In 1980, Selwyn Enzer at the University of California incorporated Cross Impact Analysis into a simulation method known as Interax, The Delphi technique was combined with Cross Impact Analysis in 1984, and researchers at Texas A & M University used Cross Impact in a process called " EZ-IMPACT " that was based on Kane's algorithm from KSIM.
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